The dollar makes a short comeback only to falter again as the year progresses. Gold and Silver correct, but not for long.
Oil also declines in the spring to early summer, but then resumes climb due to some geo-political turmoil. Oil discovery and service companies continue to be the place to be in the energy sector.
Natural Gas increases in price and there is a renewed focus on the environmental benefits of using natural gas. Companies that have natural gas reserves and transport capabilities will benefit the most.
Global warming is cooked, but we won’t stop hearing about it especially into an election year. Valuations of solar stocks are becoming obscene and will get corrected.
Green is the new black. Whether or not it’s a capitalist marketing ploy or actually good for the environment is still question.
Gamers rule. With Nintendo the Wii and DS flying off the shelves, Activision being acquired by Vivendi, Xbox 360 becoming an Madden gamers getting their own show on ESPN, Guitar Hero and Rock Band becoming the ways for kids to loose weight and families to unite.
Growth is the asset class of the year. Fund managers will continue to chase it down wherever they can find it. Agriculture will continue to be the hottest new growth sector around.
The global infrastructure boom continues and large international or U.S. based multi-national companies continue to get in the game.
Biotech, specialty pharma, life sciences continue to grow even into an election year with possible Democrat control. There will be a greater focus on using technology to solve unique heath problems.
Banks continue to have larger than expected write downs. Share prices continue to suffer until at least mid to late 2nd Quarter. Structured debt instruments will continue to be sold at fractions on the dollar in order to clean the books. Share prices of large banks will eventually make a comeback. Don’t expect a recovery until late 2008 into 2009 and stay patient.
Blackberry continues to impress and move from the business to consumer market with easy. As more countries get access to Blackberry devices, everyone will want one. Although the iPhone is beautiful and user friendly, poor service from AT&T, the lack of openness, and unrealized security issues will continue to stifle sales from what they could be.
China will host a great Olympics. However, the pollution problem will increase and become a serious problem for both athletes and tourists alike. Marathon runners will get sick and no distance running records will be broken. The country will continue to post exceptional GDP growth, but will have a stock market correction after the Olympics in the fall of 2008.
Facebook doesn’t IPO, although it continues to impress and dominate despite screw-ups along the way. Social networks as a whole will increasingly reach saturation and people will reach connection overloaded and get further annoyed with so many networks, logins, web services, and intrusions of privacy.
Aggregation and search become what social networking was two years ago. People begin to realize the mess of data they’ve created online and the growing need to categorize and retrieve it with ease. Local web companies like Lijit, will win and lead the way with searching the social graph and helping users easily aggregate and access their scattered content.
Boulder will continue to grow as a start-up and technology hub. It’s the new Austin and alternative venture capital locale. Best wishes to Brad and the Foundry Group in 2008.
The Patriots don’t win the Super Bowl and a Democrat will be back in the White House.
People will become increasingly more negative and opinionated. Don’t listen to them. Stay positive, hopeful, and realize the blessings each day. I wish the best to you and yours. Have a Happy New Year!